European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage

Jun 21, 2023 at 5pm UK

NSK Olimpiyskiy

Ukraine U21s
2 - 0
Croatia U21s

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Ukraine Under-21s and Croatia Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ukraine Under-21s

Last Game: Ukraine U21s 3-0 N. Ireland U21s
Tuesday, November 17 at 4.30pm in European Under-21 Championship

Croatia Under-21s

Last Game: Spain U21s 2-1 Croatia U21s
Monday, May 31 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia Under-21s win with a probability of 56.56%. A win for Ukraine Under-21s had a probability of 23.06% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.01%) and 1-3 (6.85%). The likeliest Ukraine Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Ukraine Under-21s	Draw	Croatia Under-21s
23.06% ( -15.23)	20.38% ( -0.19)	56.56% ( 15.42)

Both teams to score 65.57% (

-9.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.39% (

-8.43)

31.61% (

8.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.89% (

-10.6)

53.1% (

10.61)

Ukraine Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.9% (

-12.36)

26.1% (

12.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.83% (

-20.15)

61.17% (

20.15)

Croatia Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.73% (

1.49)

11.27% (

-1.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.12% (

3.15)

35.88% (

-3.15)

Score Analysis

Ukraine Under-21s 23.06%

Croatia Under-21s 56.56%

Draw 20.38%

Ukraine Under-21s	Draw	Croatia Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.79% ( -1.32) 1-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -2.01) 2-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.8) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( -2.11) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( -1.1) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -1.45) Other @ 3.1% Total : 23.06%	1-1 @ 8.63% ( 1.46) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -1) 0-0 @ 2.94% ( 1.19) 3-3 @ 2.06% ( -1.26) Other @ 0.43% Total : 20.38%	1-2 @ 9.42% ( 2.04) 0-2 @ 7.01% ( 3.29) 1-3 @ 6.85% ( 1.79) 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 2.81) 0-3 @ 5.1% ( 2.55) 2-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.42) 1-4 @ 3.74% ( 1.13) 0-4 @ 2.78% ( 1.47) 2-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.63% ( 0.56) 0-5 @ 1.22% ( 0.67) 3-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.59) 2-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.06% Total : 56.56%