European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Oct 13, 2020 at 6pm UK
 

N. Ireland U21s
1 - 0
Ukraine U21s

O'Neill (61')
Bansal-McNulty (36'), Dunwoody (62'), O'Neill (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tsitaishvili (16'), Sikan (29'), Rusyn (65'), Dubinchak (82'), Batahov (90+2')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Northern Ireland Under-21s and Ukraine Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland Under-21s win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Ukraine Under-21s had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Ukraine Under-21s win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northern Ireland Under-21s in this match.

Result
Northern Ireland Under-21sDrawUkraine Under-21s
37.19%27.05%35.76%
Both teams to score 50.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.41%54.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07%75.93%
Northern Ireland Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66%28.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92%64.08%
Ukraine Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8%29.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.85%65.15%
Score Analysis
    Northern Ireland Under-21s 37.18%
    Ukraine Under-21s 35.75%
    Draw 27.05%
Northern Ireland Under-21sDrawUkraine Under-21s
1-0 @ 10.43%
2-1 @ 8.1%
2-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 37.18%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.28%
2-2 @ 4.98%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 10.18%
1-2 @ 7.91%
0-2 @ 6.27%
1-3 @ 3.24%
0-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 35.75%

rhs 2.0


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