Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 65.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Ukraine Under-21s had a probability of 14.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Ukraine Under-21s win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.