European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage

Jun 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Spain U21s
2 - 2
Ukraine U21s

Zhelizko (49' og.), Ruiz (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

V'Yunnik (43'), Sudakov (81' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Spain Under-21s and Ukraine Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Spain U21s 1-0 Croatia U21s
Saturday, June 24 at 7.45pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain Under-21s	2	4	6
2	Ukraine Under-21s	2	3	6
3	Croatia Under-21s	2	-3	0
4	Romania Under-21s	2	-4	0

Ukraine Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Romania U21s 0-1 Ukraine U21s
Saturday, June 24 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain Under-21s	2	4	6
2	Ukraine Under-21s	2	3	6
3	Croatia Under-21s	2	-3	0
4	Romania Under-21s	2	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 65.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Ukraine Under-21s had a probability of 14.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Ukraine Under-21s win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Spain Under-21s	Draw	Ukraine Under-21s
65.87% ( 0.64)	20.08% ( -0.2)	14.05% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 48.73% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.61% (

-0.08)

45.39% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.28% (

-0.07)

67.72% (

0.07)

Spain Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.07% (

0.16)

12.93% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.62% (

0.33)

39.38% (

-0.34)

Ukraine Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.97% (

-0.69)

44.03% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.85% (

-0.58)

80.15% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Spain Under-21s 65.86%

Ukraine Under-21s 14.05%

Draw 20.08%

Spain Under-21s	Draw	Ukraine Under-21s
2-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 65.86%	1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.83% Total : 20.08%	0-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.38% Total : 14.05%