European Under-21s Championship | Quarter-Finals

Jul 2, 2023 at 8pm UK

Cluj Arena

France U21s
1 - 3
Ukraine U21s

FT(HT: 1-2)

Sudakov (32' pen., 44'), Bondarenko (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Under-21 Championship clash between France Under-21s and Ukraine Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

France Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Switzerland U21s 1-4 France U21s
Wednesday, June 28 at 7.45pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France Under-21s	3	5	9
2	Italy Under-21s	3	-1	3
3	Norway Under-21s	3	-1	3
4	Switzerland Under-21s	3	-3	3

Ukraine Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Spain U21s 2-2 Ukraine U21s
Tuesday, June 27 at 7.45pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain Under-21s	3	4	7
2	Ukraine Under-21s	3	3	7
3	Croatia Under-21s	3	-3	1
4	Romania Under-21s	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-21s win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Ukraine Under-21s had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Ukraine Under-21s win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
France Under-21s	Draw	Ukraine Under-21s
44.44% ( -0.11)	25.02% ( 0.06)	30.55% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 55.92% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.72% (

-0.25)

47.28% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.5% (

-0.24)

69.5% (

0.24)

France Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.7% (

-0.16)

21.3% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.76% (

-0.24)

54.24% (

0.24)

Ukraine Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.05% (

-0.09)

28.95% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.17% (

-0.12)

64.83% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

France Under-21s 44.44%

Ukraine Under-21s 30.55%

Draw 25.02%

France Under-21s	Draw	Ukraine Under-21s
1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 44.44%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 30.55%