Aldershot Town
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Hartlepool United
National League | Gameweek 12
Nov 17, 2020 at 7pm UK
Victoria Park
Wrexham AFC

Hartlepool
0 - 1
Wrexham

FT(HT: 0-0)
Durrell (54')
Horsfield (29'), Young (78'), Rutherford (79')
Coverage of the National League clash between Hartlepool United and Wrexham.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawWrexham
41.6%25.89%32.5%
Both teams to score 53.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.65%50.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.71%72.29%
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03%23.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.79%58.21%
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.82%29.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.88%65.12%
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 41.6%
    Wrexham 32.5%
    Draw 25.89%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 9.99%
2-1 @ 8.79%
2-0 @ 7.13%
3-1 @ 4.18%
3-0 @ 3.4%
3-2 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 41.6%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 6.99%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.62%
1-2 @ 7.58%
0-2 @ 5.31%
1-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 32.5%