MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One

Nov 4, 2024 at 1.45am UK

BC Place Stadium

Vancouver
3 - 0
Los Angeles

Gauld (10', 10'), Hollingshead (13' og., 13' og.), Segura (68' og., 68' og.)
Ahmed (50'), Ahmed (50'), Berhalter (57'), Berhalter (57')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Bouanga (41'), Bouanga (41'), Murillo (84'), Murillo (84'), Segura (89'), Segura (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

MLS Playoffs

Last Game: Los Angeles 2-1 Vancouver
Monday, October 28 at 1.45am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

MLS Playoffs

Last Game: Los Angeles 2-1 Vancouver
Monday, October 28 at 1.45am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Los Angeles FC
38.19% ( 0.53)	24.72% ( 0.21)	37.1% ( -0.74)

Both teams to score 58.78% (

-0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.66% (

-1.03)

44.35% (

1.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.28% (

-1)

66.72% (

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.96% (

-0.18)

23.05% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.13% (

-0.27)

56.87% (

0.28)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.38% (

-0.85)

23.62% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.3% (

-1.24)

57.7% (

1.25)

Score Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 38.19%

Los Angeles FC 37.1%

Draw 24.71%

Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Los Angeles FC
2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.19%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.71%	1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.1%