Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 19.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Porto |
19.48% ( 0.07) | 23.31% ( 0.22) | 57.21% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 49.93% ( -0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.31% ( -0.82) | 49.69% ( 0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.3% ( -0.74) | 71.7% ( 0.75) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.25% ( -0.4) | 39.75% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.58% ( -0.38) | 76.42% ( 0.38) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.86% ( -0.39) | 17.14% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.64% ( -0.7) | 47.36% ( 0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.48% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 10.59% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.75% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 57.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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