Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Warrington Town had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Warrington Town win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.

Result
Spennymoor Town	Draw	Warrington Town
37.44% ( 2.22)	26.52% ( 0.24)	36.04% ( -2.46)

Both teams to score 52.49% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.62% (

-0.94)

52.38% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.94% (

-0.82)

74.06% (

0.82)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.86% (

0.86)

27.14% (

-0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.47% (

1.11)

62.53% (

-1.11)

Warrington Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.04% (

-1.86)

27.96% (

1.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.41% (

-2.43)

63.59% (

2.43)

Score Analysis

Spennymoor Town 37.44%

Warrington Town 36.04%

Draw 26.51%

Spennymoor Town	Draw	Warrington Town
1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.13% Total : 37.44%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.51%	0-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.43) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.33) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.83% Total : 36.04%