Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Netanya win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Netanya win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Hapoel Jerusalem win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Netanya would win this match.

Result
Maccabi Netanya	Draw	Hapoel Jerusalem
45.8% ( 0.02)	25.57% ( -0)	28.63% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.01% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.43% (

0.01)

50.57% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.51% (

0.01)

72.48% (

-0.01)

Maccabi Netanya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.94% (

0.01)

22.06% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.6% (

0.02)

55.4% (

-0.02)

Hapoel Jerusalem Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.01% (

-0)

31.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.55% (

-0)

68.45%

Score Analysis

Maccabi Netanya 45.79%

Hapoel Jerusalem 28.63%

Draw 25.56%

Maccabi Netanya	Draw	Hapoel Jerusalem
1-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.79%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.56%	0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.63%