MX23RW : Wednesday, May 1 01:20:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 16
Jan 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Vefa Stadi

Karagumruk
4 - 1
Kayserispor

Rohden (23', 38', 41'), Lasagna (52')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Boa Morte (45+2')
Ozbek (57'), Ucar (58'), Ali Kaldirim (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Kayserispor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Samsunspor 1-0 Karagumruk
Saturday, January 6 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 1-3 Sivasspor
Sunday, January 7 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 0-1 Kayserispor

Both Karagumruk and Kayserispor have struggled in front of goal, so we are expecting a low-scoring affair here. That said, we are tipping the visitors to narrowly get the job done in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 22.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawKayserispor
54.79% (0.087000000000003 0.09) 22.95% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 22.27% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.22% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.3% (0.081000000000003 0.08)44.69% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (0.077000000000005 0.08)67.06% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79% (0.057000000000002 0.06)16.2% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.3% (0.107 0.11)45.69% (-0.109 -0.11)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.9% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)34.1% (0.002999999999993 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)70.79% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 54.78%
    Kayserispor 22.27%
    Draw 22.94%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawKayserispor
1-0 @ 10.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 9.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.55% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 54.78%
1-1 @ 10.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.94%
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 22.27%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Kayserispor

Fatih Karagumruk
43.8%
Draw
18.8%
Kayserispor
37.5%
16
Head to Head
May 30, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 36
Karagumruk
2-0
Kayserispor
Frei (16', 28')
Bertolacci (57'), Dresevic (77')

Cardoso (82'), Mensah (86')
Ackah (9')
Jan 4, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Kayserispor
2-4
Karagumruk
Mensah (57' pen.), Parlak (72')
Mercan (1'), Diagne (12', 63'), Shukurov (47')
Mar 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 30
Karagumruk
3-0
Kayserispor
Mor (10', 36', 75')
Biglia (47'), Bekaroglu (69')

Hosseini (56'), Pektemek (81'), Bertolacci (88')
Oct 31, 2021 10.30am
Gameweek 11
Kayserispor
2-1
Karagumruk
Gavranovic (73'), Thiam (90+3')
Bulut (76'), Kemen (86')
Bulut (88')
Bertolacci (23')
Biglia (14'), Viviano (29'), Borini (49')
Luckassen (61')
Mar 19, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 31
Karagumruk
3-0
Kayserispor
Durmaz (33'), Castro (58'), Sobiech (86')
Balkovec (47'), Salibur (54')

Avramovski (28')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray34303180215993
2Fenerbahce34285189315889
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor341841260451558
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul34157124639752
5BesiktasBesiktas34156134540551
6KasimpasaKasimpasa34147135659-349
7Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor34147134551-649
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor341212104946348
9SivassporSivasspor341212104145-448
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor341112113942-345
11Adana Demirspor34914114947241
12KayserisporKayserispor341110133948-940
13Samsunspor34109153744-739
14AnkaragucuAnkaragucu34814124245-338
15Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk3499164143-236
16KonyasporKonyaspor34812143448-1436
17GaziantepGaziantep3497183954-1534
18Hatayspor34712153848-1033
19Pendikspor3479183870-3230
RIstanbulspor3447232667-4116


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!