Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.52%) and 3-2 (4.8%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Den Bosch would win this match.
