Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 52.09%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.38%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
