League One

League One | Gameweek 46

May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
1 - 1
Stevenage

Cogley (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Young (76')
Piergianni (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Bolton
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Stevenage

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Rotherham
Sunday, April 27 at 2pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Stevenage
48.26% ( -1.39)	25.44% ( 0.57)	26.3% ( 0.82)

Both teams to score 51.68% (

-1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.52% (

-1.72)

51.48% (

1.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.72% (

-1.52)

73.28% (

1.52)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66% (

-1.28)

21.34% (

1.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.69% (

-2.02)

54.3% (

2.02)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.7% (

-0.25)

34.3% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29% (

-0.27)

71% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 48.26%

Stevenage 26.3%

Draw 25.43%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.28) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.42% Total : 48.26%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.22% Total : 26.3%