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League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Bolton logo

Peterborough
1 - 1
Bolton

Mothersille (20' pen.)
Mothersille (20'), Odoh (24'), De Havilland (72'), Kyprianou (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Forino-Joseph (33')
Lolos (16'), Matete (18'), Thomason (24'), Jones (65'), Randall (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 4-2 Bolton
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Bolton Wanderers

Peterborough may have struggled in this fixture in recent times, but given Bolton's poor run of four consecutive defeats, while the Posh have avoided defeat in their last three, we expect the hosts to win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
33.09% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 23.9% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04) 43% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.95% (0.132 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (0.175 0.17)41.17% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.43% (0.178 0.18)63.56% (-0.186 -0.19)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63% (0.085999999999999 0.09)24.36% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (0.128 0.13)58.76% (-0.135 -0.13)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.59% (0.076999999999998 0.08)19.41% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.77% (0.132 0.13)51.22% (-0.14 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 33.09%
    Bolton Wanderers 43%
    Draw 23.89%
Peterborough UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 7.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.68% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.64% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 33.09%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 8.97% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.9% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.46% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 43%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Bolton

Peterborough United
58.3%
Draw
16.7%
Bolton Wanderers
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Bolton
1-0
Peterborough
Lolos (90+9')
Adeboyejo (50'), Schon (53'), Lolos (90+10'), De Havilland (90+8'), Lolos (90+10')

Curtis (69'), Sparkes (71'), Ihionvien (85'), Fernandez (88')
Apr 27, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Peterborough
3-3
Bolton
Mothersille (50', 79'), Randall (67')
Randall (87')
Dempsey (4'), Charles (8' pen.), Jerome (82')
Cogley (58'), Thomason (61'), Toal (73')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Bolton
1-1
Peterborough
Adeboyejo (43')
Iredale (4'), Evatt (5'), Cogley (39'), Dempsey (47'), Thomason (81')
Jones (45+3')
Clarke-Harris (42')
Kioso (39'), Collins (90+4')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Peterborough
0-5
Bolton
Santos (12', 77'), Charles (42' pen., 47', 51')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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