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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Bolton logo

Lincoln
4 - 2
Bolton

Ring (10'), Collins (18' pen., 53'), Hackett (61')
Hamer (64'), House (73')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Matete (29'), Murphy (38')
Jones (36'), Cogley (90')
Cogley (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 0-1 Lincoln
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 0-2 Wycombe
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Bolton Wanderers

Although Lincoln have lost seven of the previous eight meetings with Bolton, the Imps' current form on home soil and Bolton's struggling results present Skubala's men with an opportunity after a five-year wait. We expect the hosts to finally end their wait for success in this matchup and disrupt the Trotters' playoff ambitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 26.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBolton Wanderers
47.5% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 26.34% (0.00099999999999767 0) 26.15% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 48.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.91%55.09% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.65%76.35% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.8%23.2% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.9%57.09% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.62%36.37% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.84% (0.0010000000000012 0)73.16%
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 47.49%
    Bolton Wanderers 26.15%
    Draw 26.33%
Lincoln CityDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 12.32%
2-1 @ 9.11%
2-0 @ 9.01%
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-0 @ 4.39%
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 47.49%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 8.44% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.61%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.53%
1-2 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 4.32%
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.55%
0-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 26.15%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Bolton

Lincoln City
54.2%
Draw
16.7%
Bolton Wanderers
29.2%
24
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2025 7pm
Third Round
Lincoln
0-1
Bolton

Erhahon (82')
Collins (22')
Cogley (35'), Santos (51'), Matete (56'), Schon (90+2')
Dec 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Bolton
3-0
Lincoln
Collins (37'), Matete (50', 66')

McGrandles (18'), House (23'), O'Connor (44'), Erhahon (45+1')
Erhahon (45+3')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Lincoln
0-1
Bolton

Makama (35'), Bishop (53'), Eyoma (88')
Mandroiu (71')
Toal (89')
Dempsey (90+2')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Bolton
3-0
Lincoln
Iredale (4'), Adeboyejo (59'), O'Connor (74' og.)
Sheehan (17'), Maghoma (87'), N'Lundulu (90+7')

House (27'), Eyoma (45+6'), Mandroiu (49')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Lincoln
1-1
Bolton
House (10')
Toal (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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