League One

League One | Gameweek 44

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
4 - 2
Bolton

Ring (10'), Collins (18' pen., 53'), Hackett (61')
Hamer (64'), House (73')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Matete (29'), Murphy (38')
Jones (36'), Cogley (90')
Cogley (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 0-1 Lincoln
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Bolton 0-2 Wycombe
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 26.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
47.5% ( -0)	26.34% ( 0)	26.15% ( 0)

Both teams to score 48.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.91%

55.09% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.65%

76.35% (

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.8%

23.2% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.9%

57.09% (

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.62%

36.37% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.84% (

73.16%

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 47.49%

Bolton Wanderers 26.15%

Draw 26.33%

Lincoln City	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 12.32% 2-1 @ 9.11% 2-0 @ 9.01% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.77% Total : 47.49%	1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 8.44% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.33%	0-1 @ 8.53% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 4.32% 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.87% Total : 26.15%