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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2025 at 2pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Rotherham logo

Stevenage
1 - 1
Rotherham

Sweeney (90+2')
Piergianni (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nombe (8')
Rafferty (30'), Kelly (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Stevenage and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Birmingham
Thursday, April 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Rotherham
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-2 Rotherham United

Rotherham United have seen their momentum slow down in recent weeks, but the Millers do appear to have turned a corner under Matt Hamshaw and have the quality to end their season on an improved note starting with an away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawRotherham United
40.79% (0.047000000000004 0.05) 27.68% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 31.53% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.01% (0.07 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.35% (0.091999999999999 0.09)57.64% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.59% (0.074999999999999 0.07)78.4% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (0.067999999999998 0.07)27.74% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.69% (0.089999999999996 0.09)63.3% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.44% (0.034000000000006 0.03)33.55% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.8% (0.035 0.04)70.2% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 40.78%
    Rotherham United 31.52%
    Draw 27.68%
StevenageDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 11.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.65% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 3.57% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 40.78%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.31% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 10.16% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.52%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Rotherham

Stevenage
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Rotherham United
40.0%
45
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Rotherham
2-0
Stevenage
Hugill (70'), Wilks (73')
Odofin (25'), Tiehi (45'), Rafferty (90+1')

Freestone (49'), King (55'), Presley (90+2')
Feb 15, 2014 3pm
Nov 16, 2013 3pm
Jan 25, 2011 3pm
Oct 9, 2010 3pm
Rotherham
1-1
Stevenage
Law (45')
Newey (36'), Fenton (59')
Mousinho (82')
Henry (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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