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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2025 at 2pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Rotherham logo

Stevenage
1 - 1
Rotherham

Sweeney (90+2')
Piergianni (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nombe (8')
Rafferty (30'), Kelly (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Stevenage and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Birmingham
Thursday, April 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Rotherham
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawRotherham United
40.79% (0.047000000000004 0.05)27.68% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)31.53% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.01% (0.07 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.35% (0.091999999999999 0.09)57.64% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.59% (0.074999999999999 0.07)78.4% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (0.067999999999998 0.07)27.74% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.69% (0.089999999999996 0.09)63.3% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.44% (0.034000000000006 0.03)33.55% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.8% (0.035 0.04)70.2% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 40.78%
    Rotherham United 31.52%
    Draw 27.68%
StevenageDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 11.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.65% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 3.57% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 40.78%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.31% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 10.16% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.52%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Rotherham

Stevenage
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Rotherham United
40.0%
45
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Rotherham
2-0
Stevenage
Hugill (70'), Wilks (73')
Odofin (25'), Tiehi (45'), Rafferty (90+1')

Freestone (49'), King (55'), Presley (90+2')
Feb 15, 2014 3pm
Nov 16, 2013 3pm
Jan 25, 2011 3pm
Oct 9, 2010 3pm
Rotherham
1-1
Stevenage
Law (45')
Newey (36'), Fenton (59')
Mousinho (82')
Henry (85')