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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 40.79% ( | 27.68% ( | 31.53% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.35% ( | 57.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.59% ( | 78.4% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% ( | 27.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.69% ( | 63.3% ( |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.44% ( | 33.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.8% ( | 70.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 11.93% ( 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 4-0 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.78% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0-0 @ 9.31% ( 2-2 @ 4.56% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 2-3 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.52% |