League One Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Carl Piergianni 86' yellowcard
  • Daniel Sweeney 90'+2' goal
  • goal Sam Nombe 8'
  • yellowcard Joe Rafferty 30'
  • yellowcard Liam Kelly 35'

Stevenage vs Rotherham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Apr 24, 2025 7.45pm
Stevenage 0 - 1 Birmingham
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dan Kemp

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
Wigan 1 - 0 Rotherham
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Sam Nombe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result

Stevenage 40.79% (+0.05)
Draw 27.68% (-0.03)
Rotherham United 31.53% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.01% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.35% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 57.64% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 21.59% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 78.4% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 9.26% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 90.73% (-0.05)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 72.26% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 27.74% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 36.69% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 63.3% (-0.10)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 66.44% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 33.55% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 29.8% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 70.2% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Stevenage 40.78%
Draw 27.68%
Rotherham United 31.52%
Stevenage
1-0 @ 11.93% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.36% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.65% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.57% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.27% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 40.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.31% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.56% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.68%
Rotherham United
0-1 @ 10.16% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.12% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.52%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT New York Stadium
  • Hakeem Odofin 25' yellowcard
  • Christ Tiehi 45' yellowcard
  • Jordan Hugill 70' goal
  • Mallik Wilks 73' goal
  • Joe Rafferty 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Freestone 49'
  • yellowcard Eli King 55'
  • yellowcard Aaron Presley 90'+2'
League One
Feb 15, 2014 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kieran Agard 29' yellowcard
  • Wes Thomas 41' goal
  • James Tavernier 74' yellowcard
  • Lee Frecklington 88' goal
  • yellowcard Jon Ashton 75'
  • goal Francois Zoko 86'
League One
Nov 16, 2013 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jimmy Smith 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Claude Davis 5'
  • goal Ben Pringle 14'
  • goal Claude Davis 61'
  • goal Michael O'Connor 66'
League Two
Jan 25, 2011 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Peter Winn 44' goal
  • Scott Laird 90' goal
League Two
Oct 9, 2010 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tom Newey 36' yellowcard
  • Nick Law 45' goal
  • Nick Fenton 59' yellowcard
  • goal John Mousinho 82'
  • yellowcard Ronnie Henry 85'