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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 38
Apr 24, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Birmingham logo

Stevenage
0 - 1
Birmingham


Phillips (24'), Wildin (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cochrane (75')
Dowell (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Stevenage and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-1 Stevenage
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-2 Birmingham City

With nothing tangible at stake for both Stevenage and Birmingham, we are expecting a relaxed atmosphere at the Lamex Stadium on Thursday night. An open contest would surely suit title-winning Blues, who look set to smash past the 100-point mark in front of a sold-out away following. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 19.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.

Result
StevenageDrawBirmingham City
19.77% (-0.268 -0.27) 24.38% (-0.25 -0.25) 55.85% (0.525 0.52)
Both teams to score 47.25% (0.308 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.5% (0.624 0.62)53.5% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.98% (0.524 0.52)75.02% (-0.517 -0.52)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.37% (0.062999999999995 0.06)41.63% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.89% (0.055 0.05)78.11% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.95% (0.443 0.44)19.05% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.37% (0.728 0.73)50.64% (-0.722 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 19.77%
    Birmingham City 55.84%
    Draw 24.38%
StevenageDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 6.95% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-1 @ 5.05% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.05% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.22% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 19.77%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.93% (-0.194 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.19% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 13.14% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 10.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.55% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-3 @ 6.03% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.28% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
0-4 @ 2.5% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.19% (0.071 0.07)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 55.84%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Birmingham

Stevenage
20.4%
Draw
9.3%
Birmingham City
70.4%
54
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Birmingham
2-1
Stevenage
Dowell (27' pen.), Seung-ho (47')
Iwata (61'), Stansfield (64'), Cochrane (90'), Allsop (90')
Young (90+4')
Phillips (90')
Feb 4, 2025 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Stevenage
0-1
Birmingham

Thompson (59'), Piergianni (79')
Stansfield (83')
Iwata (78'), Stansfield (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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