League One

League One | Gameweek 38

Apr 24, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
0 - 1
Birmingham

Phillips (24'), Wildin (52')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cochrane (75')
Dowell (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Stevenage and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-1 Stevenage
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Birmingham
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 19.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Birmingham City
19.77% ( -0.27)	24.38% ( -0.25)	55.85% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 47.25% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.5% (

0.62)

53.5% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.98% (

0.52)

75.02% (

-0.52)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.37% (

0.06)

41.63% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.89% (

0.05)

78.11% (

-0.05)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.95% (

0.44)

19.05% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.37% (

0.73)

50.64% (

-0.72)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 19.77%

Birmingham City 55.84%

Draw 24.38%

Stevenage	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.77%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.38%	0-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 10.9% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 6.03% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.98% Total : 55.84%