League One Gameweek 38
Apr 24, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Daniel Phillips 24' yellowcard
  • Luther Wildin 52' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Cochrane 75'
  • yellowcard Kieran Dowell 84'

Stevenage vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
Bristol Rovers 0 - 1 Stevenage
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dan Kemp

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
Burton Albion 1 - 2 Birmingham
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Jay Stansfield

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 19.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.

Result

Stevenage 19.77% (-0.27)
Draw 24.38% (-0.25)
Birmingham City 55.85% (+0.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.25% (+0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.5% (+0.63)
Under 2.5 53.5% (-0.62)
Over 3.5 24.98% (+0.53)
Under 3.5 75.02% (-0.52)
Over 4.5 11.35% (+0.34)
Under 4.5 88.65% (-0.33)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 58.37% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 41.63% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 21.89% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 78.11% (-0.05)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 80.95% (+0.45)
Under 0.5 19.05% (-0.44)
Over 1.5 49.37% (+0.73)
Under 1.5 50.64% (-0.73)

Score analysis

Stevenage 19.77%
Draw 24.38%
Birmingham City 55.84%
Stevenage
1-0 @ 6.95% (-0.16)
2-1 @ 5.05% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 3.05% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 1.48% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 19.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 7.93% (-0.20)
2-2 @ 4.19% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 24.38%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 13.14% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 10.9% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.55% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 6.03% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 5.28% (+0.10)
0-4 @ 2.5% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.31% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 2.19% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 55.84%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 16
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Kieran Dowell 27' goal
  • Paik Seung-ho 47' goal
  • Tomoki Iwata 61' yellowcard
  • Jay Stansfield 64' yellowcard
  • Alex Cochrane 90' yellowcard
  • Ryan Allsop 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Phillips 90'
  • goal Jake Young 90'+4'
EFL Trophy
Feb 4, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Louis Thompson 59' yellowcard
  • Carl Piergianni 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomoki Iwata 78'
  • goal Jay Stansfield 83'
  • yellowcard Jay Stansfield 84'