World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 20, 2025 at 4pm UK

Azadi Stadium, Tehran

Iran
2 - 0
UAE

Azmoun (47'), Mohebi (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and United Arab Emirates, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions

Last Game: North Korea 2-3 Iran
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Iran vs. Uzbekistan
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

United Arab Emirates

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: UAE 1-1 Oman
Friday, December 27 at 2.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Next Game: North Korea vs. UAE
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 63.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 15.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a United Arab Emirates win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Iran	Draw	United Arab Emirates
63.68% ( 0.88)	21.29% ( -0.39)	15.03% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 47.39% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.5% (

0.67)

48.5% (

-0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.37% (

0.61)

70.63% (

-0.61)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.43% (

0.5)

14.57% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.37% (

0.96)

42.63% (

-0.96)

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.47% (

-0.28)

44.53% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.44% (

-0.22)

80.56% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Iran 63.67%

United Arab Emirates 15.03%

Draw 21.29%

Iran	Draw	United Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 12.49% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.35% Total : 63.67%	1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.29%	0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.41% Total : 15.03%