World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 25, 2025 at 4pm UK

Azadi Stadium, Tehran

Iran
2 - 2
Uzbekistan

Taremi (52', 83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Erkinov (16'), Fayzullaev (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and Uzbekistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions

Last Game: Iran 2-0 UAE
Thursday, March 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Qatar vs. Iran
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

Uzbekistan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Uzbekistan 1-0 Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, March 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: UAE vs. Uzbekistan
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Iran win with a probability of 47.97%. A draw has a probability of 26.2% and a win for Uzbekistan has a probability of 25.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Uzbekistan win it is 0-1 (8.37%).

Result
Iran	Draw	Uzbekistan
47.97% ( -0.03)	26.15% ( -0.1)	25.88% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 49.2% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.45% (

0.45)

54.55% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.1% (

0.38)

75.9% (

-0.37)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.25% (

0.18)

22.76% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.56% (

0.27)

56.44% (

-0.27)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.69% (

0.35)

36.31% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.9% (

0.36)

73.1% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Iran 47.97%

Uzbekistan 25.88%

Draw 26.15%

Iran	Draw	Uzbekistan
1-0 @ 12.23% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 47.97%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.15%	0-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.87% Total : 25.88%