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Uzbekistan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 20, 2025 at 4pm UK
 
Kyrgyzstan national football team

Uzbekistan
vs.
Kyrgyzstan

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uzbekistan 0-0 Jordan
Monday, January 27 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Iran vs. Uzbekistan
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
Last Game: UAE 3-0 Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Kyrgyzstan vs. Qatar
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Uzbekistan 2-0 Kyrgyzstan

Uzbekistan have only lost once in qualifying so far and will be looking to solidify their place in the top two in midweek. Also, with the hosts' excellent home record, they will be confident of seizing all three points against a Kyrgyzstan side that have struggled immensely on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 74.42%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 8.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.64%) and 3-0 (10.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
UzbekistanDrawKyrgyzstan
74.42% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17) 17.14% (0.117 0.12) 8.44% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 39.3% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (-0.348 -0.35)47.5% (0.343 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (-0.324 -0.32)69.71% (0.319 0.32)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.84% (-0.142 -0.14)11.16% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.36% (-0.307 -0.31)35.64% (0.302 0.3)
Kyrgyzstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.24% (-0.113 -0.11)55.76% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.67% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)88.33% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Uzbekistan 74.41%
    Kyrgyzstan 8.44%
    Draw 17.14%
UzbekistanDrawKyrgyzstan
2-0 @ 14.96% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 13.64% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 10.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 6.39% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 6% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.5% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.63% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.54% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.015 -0.02)
6-0 @ 0.96% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 74.41%
1-1 @ 7.97% (0.043 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 17.14%
0-1 @ 3.64% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 2.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.06% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 8.44%

How you voted: Uzbekistan vs Kyrgyzstan

Uzbekistan
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Kyrgyzstan
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 3pm
Third Round
Kyrgyzstan
2-3
Uzbekistan
Kojo (15'), Abdurakhmanov (35')
Shomurodov (17'), Aliqulov (45+1'), Urunov (72')
Ashurmatov (34'), Shomurodov (90+4')
Dec 25, 2023 3.30pm
Mar 25, 2022 2pm
International Friendly
Uzbekistan
3-1
Kyrgyzstan
Shomurodov (64'), Sergeev (84', 90')
Murzaev (6')
Nov 9, 2019 12pm
International Friendlies
Uzbekistan
3-1
Kyrgyzstan
Sergeev (11'), Khamdanov (53'), Iskanderov (80')
Musabekov (30')
rhs 2.0
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