CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Oct 12, 2024 at 2am UK

Synthetic Track and Field Facility

Guyana
1 - 3
Guatemala

Duke-McKenna (31', 31')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Santis (17', 17', 68', 68'), Castellanos (61', 61')
Samayoa (68'), Samayoa (68'), Franco (79'), Franco (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Guyana and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guyana

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Martinique 2-2 Guyana
Monday, September 9 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Antigua and Barbuda	0	0	0
2	Guyana	0	0	0
3	Puerto Rico	0	0	0
4	Bahamas	0	0	0

Guatemala

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Guatemala 0-0 Costa Rica
Tuesday, September 10 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guyana win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guyana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.

Result
Guyana	Draw	Guatemala
45.94% ( 0.51)	23.56% ( -0.01)	30.5% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 60.94% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.32% (

-0.22)

40.67% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.94% (

-0.22)

63.06% (

0.22)

Guyana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.01% (

0.12)

17.99% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.15% (

0.21)

48.84% (

-0.21)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.3% (

-0.42)

25.69% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.39% (

-0.58)

60.61% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Guyana 45.94%

Guatemala 30.5%

Draw 23.56%

Guyana	Draw	Guatemala
2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 45.94%	1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.5%