Eredivisie | Gameweek 31

May 3, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Sportpark De Weeren

Nijmegen
1 - 1
Willem II

Shiogai (83')
Sano (37'), Sano (37'), Ouaissa (84')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Verdonk (1' og., 1' og.)
Nizet (84'), Lachkar (90+3')
Behounek (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 1-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, April 27 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Willem II

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 1-0 Willem II
Sunday, April 27 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 61.89%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 18.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
NEC	Draw	Willem II
61.89% ( 0.05)	20.07% ( 0.14)	18.03% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 58.12% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.43% (

-1.01)

37.56% (

1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.2% (

-1.09)

59.79% (

1.09)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.32% (

-0.29)

11.68% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.24% (

-0.63)

36.75% (

0.63)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.8% (

-0.81)

34.19% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.11% (

-0.88)

70.89% (

0.88)

Score Analysis

NEC 61.89%

Willem II 18.03%

Draw 20.07%

NEC	Draw	Willem II
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.24% Total : 61.89%	1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.07%	1-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.85% Total : 18.03%