Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.

Result
VVV-Venlo	Draw	ADO Den Haag
36.22% ( 0.09)	24.73% ( -0.01)	39.05% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 58.69% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.56% (

0.06)

44.44% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.19% (

0.06)

66.81% (

-0.06)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.87% (

0.08)

24.13% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.56% (

0.11)

58.44% (

-0.11)

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.35% (

-0.01)

22.65% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.72% (

-0.02)

56.28% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

VVV-Venlo 36.22%

ADO Den Haag 39.05%

Draw 24.72%

VVV-Venlo	Draw	ADO Den Haag
2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 36.22%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.72%	1-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.05%