Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 53.16%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Emmen in this match.