Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.