Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 68.91%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 14.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cambuur in this match.