Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	Roda JC
52.3% ( -0.36)	22.08% ( 0.19)	25.62% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 62.3% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.83% (

-0.73)

37.17% (

0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.63% (

-0.79)

59.38% (

0.79)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.61% (

-0.37)

14.39% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.71% (

-0.72)

42.29% (

0.71)

Roda JC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.77% (

-0.26)

27.23% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.35% (

-0.34)

62.65% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Vitesse 52.3%

Roda JC 25.62%

Draw 22.08%

Vitesse	Draw	Roda JC
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.37% Total : 52.3%	1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.08%	1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 25.62%