Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.