Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Roda JC	Draw	ADO Den Haag
41.57% ( -0.05)	24.72% ( 0.01)	33.71% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 58.22% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.16% (

-0.03)

44.84% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.8% (

-0.03)

67.2% (

0.02)

Roda JC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.41% (

-0.04)

21.59% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.31% (

-0.05)

54.69% (

0.05)

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.25% (

0.01)

25.75% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.32% (

0.01)

60.68% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Roda JC 41.57%

ADO Den Haag 33.71%

Draw 24.72%

Roda JC	Draw	ADO Den Haag
2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 41.57%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.72%	1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.71%