Copa del Rey | Second Round
Dec 7, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Linarejos
Elche

Linares
1 - 3
Elche

Corral (61')
Bonnin (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garces (58'), Febas (83'), Leon (89')
Gonzalez (86')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Linares Deportivo and Elche.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: UCAM Murcia 0-0 Linares (6-7 pen.)
Wednesday, November 1 at 11am in Copa del Rey
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Last Game: Alcorcon 0-2 Elche
Sunday, December 3 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 48.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Linares Deportivo had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Linares Deportivo win it was 1-0 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.

Result
Linares DeportivoDrawElche
24.9% (0.903 0.9)26.78% (0.325 0.32)48.32% (-1.228 -1.23)
Both teams to score 46.6% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.5% (-0.5 -0.5)57.49% (0.501 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.71% (-0.398 -0.4)78.29% (0.398 0.4)
Linares Deportivo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.21% (0.548 0.55)38.79% (-0.548 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.47% (0.516 0.52)75.52% (-0.515 -0.52)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (-0.77900000000001 -0.78)23.86% (0.779 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.95% (-1.127 -1.13)58.05% (1.126 1.13)
Score Analysis
    Linares Deportivo 24.9%
    Elche 48.32%
    Draw 26.77%
Linares DeportivoDrawElche
1-0 @ 8.76% (0.293 0.29)
2-1 @ 5.95% (0.153 0.15)
2-0 @ 4.15% (0.199 0.2)
3-1 @ 1.88% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 24.9%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 9.26% (0.176 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 13.26% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 9.5% (-0.256 -0.26)
1-2 @ 9% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.54% (-0.231 -0.23)
1-3 @ 4.3% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 48.32%

How you voted: Linares vs Elche

Linares Deportivo
15.8%
Draw
10.5%
Elche
73.7%
19
rhs 2.0


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