Copa del Rey | First Round

Nov 1, 2023 at 11am UK

Estadio de La Condomina

UCAM Murcia
0 - 0
Linares

Manuel Raigal (77')

FT
(aet)

Perejon (47'), Moreno (105'), Moreno (105')

Linares win 7-6 on penalties

Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between UCAM Murcia and Linares Deportivo.

Form, Standings, Stats

UCAM Murcia

Last Game: UCAM Murcia 3-4 Deportivo
Wednesday, December 1 at 7pm in Copa del Rey

Linares Deportivo

Last Game: Linares 0-5 Sevilla
Wednesday, January 4 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UCAM Murcia win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Linares Deportivo had a probability of 14.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a UCAM Murcia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Linares Deportivo win it was 0-1 (5.71%).

Result
UCAM Murcia	Draw	Linares Deportivo
63.02% ( 0.3)	22.2% ( -0.18)	14.78% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 44.14% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.43% (

0.48)

52.57% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.77% (

0.41)

74.22% (

-0.42)

UCAM Murcia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.85% (

0.27)

16.14% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.42% (

0.49)

45.58% (

-0.49)

Linares Deportivo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.64% (

0.12)

47.36% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.24% (

0.09)

82.75% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

UCAM Murcia 63.01%

Linares Deportivo 14.78%

Draw 22.2%

UCAM Murcia	Draw	Linares Deportivo
1-0 @ 13.94% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 12.71% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.81% Total : 63.01%	1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 22.2%	0-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.06% Total : 14.78%