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Chelsea logo
Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa logo

Chelsea
1 - 1
Aston Villa

Giroud (34')
Azpilicueta (45+2'), Giroud (71'), Kante (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
El Ghazi (50')
El Ghazi (71')

Preview: Chelsea vs. Aston Villa - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Chelsea and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Chelsea will be aiming to bounce back from their dampening derby defeat to Arsenal when they welcome Aston Villa to Stamford Bridge on Monday.

In contrast, Villa head to Stamford Bridge following a resounding 3-0 win over Crystal Palace, with Dean Smith's side playing the second 45 with 10 men on Boxing Day.


Match preview

Chelsea manager Frank Lampard pictured on October 31, 2020© Reuters

Fresh from a resounding 3-0 victory over local rivals West Ham United, Chelsea made the trip across the capital to take on Arsenal with the goal of marching to their second successive triumph in a London derby.

However, Arsenal simply outclassed the title-chasing Blues in spite of their recent struggles, with Alexandre Lacazette, Granit Xhaka and Bukayo Saka all netting for the Gunners at the Emirates Stadium, with Tammy Abraham pulling one back for the Blues late on.

Jorginho also saw a late penalty saved by Bernd Leno as Arsenal came up trumps in a Boxing Day shock, with the defeat in North London representing Chelsea's third loss in four matches following previous away defeats to Everton and Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Leicester and Manchester United had played out a 2-2 draw before Chelsea took to the pitch at the Emirates Stadium, but Frank Lampard's men missed the chance to leapfrog their opponents into second and will be desperate to bounce back as soon as possible, but getting the better of Villa will not be a walk in the park whatsoever.

Aston Villa manager Dean Smith pictured on November 8, 2020© Reuters

Aston Villa headed into their game with Crystal Palace having eased past Sam Allardyce's West Bromwich Albion before the festive fixtures, with Dean Smith's side hoping to stretch their unbeaten run to four matches on Boxing Day.

Bertrand Traore took just five minutes to break the deadlock at Villa Park before Tyrone Mings was sent off on the stroke of half time, but Kortney Hause doubled Villa's lead before Anwar El Ghazi smashed home to ensure that Dean Smith's side took the spoils with 10 men.

Smith's men produced a truly dominant performance in the West Midlands despite being a man down for most of the game, and that win - their third in four Premier League matches - temporarily moves them up to seventh before Sunday's fixtures take place.

Chelsea go into the visit of Villa hoping to record their seventh consecutive win over the West Midlands outfit - with manager Lampard the top scorer in this fixture with 14 goals to his name - and Villa's most recent win at Stamford Bridge came on New Year's Eve in 2011.

Chelsea Premier League form: DWLLWL
Chelsea form (all competitions): WDLLWL

Aston Villa Premier League form: LLWDWW


Team News

Chelsea's Ben Chilwell goes down injured against West Ham United on December 21, 2020© Reuters

Reece James and Ben Chilwell both made the starting lineup against Arsenal despite previous doubts over injuries, but the duo may be spared here with only 48 hours in between games.

Hakim Ziyech was ruled out of Boxing Day's defeat but could come back here, although the winger is unlikely to be thrown straight back into the starting lineup after his injury.

Cesar Azpilicueta, Emerson Palmieri, Kai Havertz and Callum Hudson-Odoi could all be in line for starts on Monday evening, while Olivier Giroud will also be hopeful of featuring from the off.

As for Villa, Mings will play no part in this one following his sending off on Boxing Day, meaning that Ezri Konsa is set for a recall to the starting lineup.

Ross Barkley did not make the squad against Palace despite returning to the training pitches after an injury, and the Chelsea loanee is ineligible to face his parent club on Monday.

Smith will not want to make too many alterations despite the quick turnaround in fixtures, but Neil Taylor and Marvelous Nakamba are both ready to be called upon.

Chelsea possible starting lineup:
Mendy; Azpilicueta, Zouma, Silva, Emerson; Kante, Jorginho, Havertz; Pulisic, Giroud, Hudson-Odoi

Aston Villa possible starting lineup:
Martinez; Cash, Konsa, Hause, Taylor; Luiz, Nakamba; Traore, Grealish, El Ghazi; Watkins


SM words green background

We say: Chelsea 2-2 Aston Villa

Chelsea's confidence would have been rocked by the manner of their defeat to Arsenal, whereas Villa will head to the capital brimming with optimism after yet another dominant victory. Both teams only have 48 hours to recover from their respective Boxing Day fixtures, with plenty of rotation expected after a gruelling weekend, and we think a high-flying Villa should do enough to come away with a point.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 18.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.


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Bukayo Saka pictured celebrating after scoring for Arsenal on October 4, 2020
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Manchester CityMan City33237380324876
3Liverpool34228475344174
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331111115254-244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


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