Australian A-League | Gameweek 27

Apr 18, 2025 at 10.35am UK

Coopers Stadium

Adelaide United
3 - 2
Wellington

Kikianis (8'), Mauk (12'), Goodwin (89')
Mauk (44'), Kikianis (52')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Barbarouses (31'), Hughes (35')
Payne (44'), Brooke-Smith (85')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 4-1 Adelaide United
Saturday, April 12 at 12.45pm in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 2-3 Victory
Saturday, April 12 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 63.39%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 18.86% and a draw had a probability of 17.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (4.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
63.39% ( -0.62)	17.75% ( 0.47)	18.86% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 69% (

-1.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.44% (

-2.1)

24.56% (

2.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.66% (

-2.81)

44.33% (

2.82)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.39% (

-0.68)

7.61% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.79% (

-1.8)

27.21% (

1.81)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.68% (

-1.24)

25.31% (

1.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.91% (

-1.73)

60.09% (

1.74)

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 63.39%

Wellington Phoenix 18.86%

Draw 17.75%

Adelaide United	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 7.54% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.45) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.51) 4-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 3.53% ( 0) 4-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.25) 5-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.19) 5-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.07) 5-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.2) 4-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.17) 6-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.12) Other @ 4.7% Total : 63.39%	1-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.26) Other @ 0.61% Total : 17.75%	1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.13) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.86% Total : 18.86%