Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.