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Wolfsberger
Europa League | Round of 32
Feb 18, 2021 at 5.55pm UK
Lavanttal Arena
Spurs logo

Wolfsberger
1 - 4
Spurs

Liendl (55' pen.)
Sprangler (62')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Heung-min (13'), Bale (28'), Moura (34'), Vinicius (88')
Alli (42'), Sissoko (54'), Hojbjerg (81')

Preview: Wolfsberger vs. Tottenham Hotspur - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Wolfsberger and Tottenham Hotspur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Tottenham Hotspur's Europa League campaign resumes on Thursday evening with the first leg of their last-32 tie against Austrian Bundesliga side Wolfsberger.

The match will be played at the Puskas Arena in Budapest due to coronavirus restrictions, while the second leg is still due to go ahead in North London next week.


Match preview

Tottenham Hotspur manager Jose Mourinho pictured on February 13, 2021© Reuters

Jose Mourinho will be after a response from his Tottenham players on the back of their latest setback in the form of a 3-0 loss against Manchester City on Saturday.

The Lilywhites were deservedly beaten by the in-form Premier League leaders and are now six points adrift of the top four in what is turning out to be a disappointing campaign.

However, Spurs have an EFL Cup final showdown with Manchester City to look forward to in April and are also among the favourites to go all the way in the Europa League.

Mourinho's men finished top of Group J with 13 points from a possible 18 and now have a favourable last-32 tie against a side positioned sixth in the Austrian top flight.

Wolfsberger were runners-up in Group K, finishing above CSKA Moscow and Feyenoord to reach the knockout stages of a major European competition for the first time ever.

Wolfsberger AC's Michael Liendl celebrates scoring their first goal on October 29, 2020© Reuters

That is in stark contrast to Tottenham, who are competing in the Europa League knockout stages for a 10th time alone.

Interestingly, however, Spurs have failed to win the first leg in each of their last seven knockout matches in the competition since beating Inter Milan 3-0 in 2013.

Without any sort of home advantage, Ferdinand Feldhofer will know that his side have a huge task on their hands to take an advantage into the reverse fixture.

Wolfsberger have lost two of their last five matches in all competitions, with both of those defeats coming in the league, though they did see off Admira 2-1 at the weekend.

Still, that is better form than Tottenham have been in over the past month, having lost five of their last six matches. Another defeat here and the pressure will mount on Mourinho.

Wolfsberger Europa League form: DWLLWW
Wolfsberger form (all competitions): DLWWLW

Tottenham Hotspur Europa League form: WLWWDW
Tottenham Hotspur form (all competitions): LLLWLL


Team News

Dele Alli in action for Spurs on November 26, 2020© Reuters

Giovani Lo Celso is still missing for Tottenham with a hamstring injury, while full-backs Serge Aurier and Sergio Reguilon are doubtful.

Joe Rodon will also definitely play no part as he was not registered in Tottenham's Europa League squad.

This game has taken on added importance for Spurs following their latest defeat at the weekend, but Mourinho is still likely to use a number of his fringe players.

That will likely mean starts for Carlos Vinicius, Gareth Bale, Lucas Moura and Dele Alli, the latter of whom has not started a game since January 10.

As for the home side, Mario Leitgeb and Eliel Peretz are their only two known injury absentees for Thursday's clash in Budapest.

Feldhofer is expected to stick with the same 4-1-3-2 system used in the group phase, with Dejan Joveljic and Dario Vizinger leading the attack.

Wolfsberger possible starting lineup:
Kofler; Novak, Baumgartner, Lochoshvili, Scherzer; Stratnig; Taferner, Liendl, Sprangler; Vizinger, Joveljic

Tottenham Hotspur possible starting lineup:
Hart; Doherty, Sanchez, Tanganga, Davies; Winks, Sissoko; Bale, Alli, Lucas; Vinicius


SM words green background

We say: Wolfsberger 0-2 Tottenham Hotspur

Even accounting for Tottenham's poor form and the changes Mourinho is likely to make, the Premier League side are still huge favourites to advance from this last-32 tie.

Mourinho has won each of his last 12 knockout ties in the UEFA Cup/Europa League and has not lost an away knockout match in the competition since 2002, which is a run we expect to continue on Thursday.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 46.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 26.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Wolfsberger win it was 1-0 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.


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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
QWest Ham650115
QFreiburg640212
3Olympiacos62137
4Backa Topola60151

Group B

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QBrighton641113
QMarseille632111
3Ajax61235
4AEK Athens61144

Group C

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QRangers632111
QSparta Prague631210
3Betis63039
4Aris Limassol61144

Group D

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QAtalanta642014
QSporting Lisbon632111
3Sturm Graz61144
4Rakow61144

Group E

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QLiverpool640212
QToulouse632111
3Union SG62228
4LASK61053

Group F

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QVillarreal641113
QRennes640212
3M. Haifa61235
4Panathinaikos61144

Group G

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QSlavia Prague650115
QRoma641113
3Servette61235
4Sheriff Tiraspol60151

Group H

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QQarabag631210
3Molde62137
4Hacken60060


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