Segunda Division | Gameweek 40
May 18, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Real Oviedo
1 - 0
Zaragoza

de la Fuente (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Arriaga (57'), Sans Lopez (82'), Ares (90+6'), Moya (90+7')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Oviedo and Real Zaragoza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Oviedo

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Real Oviedo
Sunday, May 11 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Real Zaragoza

All competitions
Last Game: Zaragoza 3-2 Cartagena
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 20.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Oviedo in this match.

Result
Real OviedoDrawReal Zaragoza
55.42% (0.503 0.5)24.27% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)20.31% (-0.408 -0.41)
Both teams to score 48.34% (-0.312 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.54% (-0.108 -0.11)52.46% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.87% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)74.13% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Real Oviedo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18% (0.154 0.15)18.82% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.74% (0.251 0.25)50.25% (-0.248 -0.25)
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.55% (-0.497 -0.5)40.45% (0.499 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.94% (-0.45 -0.45)77.06% (0.452 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Real Oviedo 55.4%
    Real Zaragoza 20.31%
    Draw 24.27%
Real OviedoDrawReal Zaragoza
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 10.61% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 5.91% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.47% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 55.4%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.61% (0.034 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.27%
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.21% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 20.31%

Head to Head
Dec 17, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 20
Zaragoza
2-3
Real Oviedo
Liso (21'), Ares (32')
Bare (25'), Ares (28'), Vital (76')
Chaira (50', 90+2'), Alemao (65')
Ahijado (37'), Del Moral (37'), Moyano (48'), Braat (51'), Suarez (61')
May 12, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 39
Real Oviedo
1-0
Zaragoza
Alemao (86')
de la Fuente (11')

Mourino (5'), Amador (39'), Moya (54'), Moya (73')
Moya (73')
Nov 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 14
Zaragoza
0-0
Real Oviedo
Mollejo (60')
Costas (9')
May 7, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 39
Real Oviedo
2-1
Zaragoza
Rozada (38'), Masca (90+2')
Bermejo (57')
Oct 9, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Zaragoza
1-1
Real Oviedo
Azon (3')
Montoro (49')
rhs 2.0


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