Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.