Russian Premier League | Gameweek 21

Mar 16, 2025 at 4.45pm UK

Otkrytiye Arena

Spartak Moscow
2 - 1
Zenit

Martins Pereira (45+2', 90')
Babic (27'), Umyarov (31'), Reabciuk (78'), Martins Pereira (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Henrique (83')
Henrique (53'), Erakovic (90+3')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and Zenit St Petersburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartak Moscow

All competitions

Last Game: Rubin Kazan 2-1 Spartak Moscow
Sunday, March 9 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Zenit St Petersburg

All competitions

Russian Premier League

Last Game: Fakel 0-2 Zenit
Saturday, March 8 at 11.30am in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Zenit St Petersburg had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Spartak Moscow in this match.

Result
Spartak Moscow	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
39.11% ( -0.01)	24.99% ( -0)	35.89% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.7% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.3% (

0.01)

45.69% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.98% (

68.01% (

-0.01)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.82% (

-0)

23.17% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.94% (

-0)

57.05% (

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.1% (

0.01)

24.89% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.49% (

0.01)

59.5% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Spartak Moscow 39.11%

Zenit St Petersburg 35.89%

Draw 24.98%

Spartak Moscow	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.1% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.11%	1-1 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.98%	1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.89%