Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 29

Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK

SRC Velika Gorica

Gorica
3 - 2
Istra 1961

Slogar (19', 19'), Cuic (31', 31'), Kolar (81', 81')
Sikosek (26'), Halilovic (46')

FT(HT: 4-4)

Loncar (13', 13'), Valincic (17', 17')
Heister (53')
Heister (83')

Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Gorica and NK Istra 1961.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gorica

All competitions

Last Game: Varazdin 0-0 Gorica
Friday, April 4 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

NK Istra 1961

All competitions

Last Game: Istra 1961 3-0 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, April 5 at 5.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Istra 1961 win with a probability of 38.73%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 30.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Istra 1961 win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.87%) and 1-2 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.59%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Gorica	Draw	NK Istra 1961
30.5% ( -0.16)	30.76% ( -0.04)	38.73% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 39.62% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.21% (

0.08)

67.79% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.2% (

0.05)

85.8% (

-0.05)

Gorica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.11% (

-0.08)

39.89% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.45% (

-0.07)

76.55% (

0.07)

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.91% (

0.17)

34.09% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.22% (

0.18)

70.77% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Gorica 30.5%

NK Istra 1961 38.73%

Draw 30.76%

Gorica	Draw	NK Istra 1961
1-0 @ 12.49% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.41% Total : 30.5%	0-0 @ 13.59% ( -0.04) 1-1 @ 13.45% 2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.76%	0-1 @ 14.63% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 38.73%