Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 45.69%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.