Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 44.02%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 25.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.05%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood.