Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 21

Feb 9, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stadion HNK Rijeka

Rijeka
0 - 1
Istra 1961

Goda (46'), Djouahra (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gagua (38')
Koski (53'), Fucak (56'), Paul Keller (69'), Loncar (90+3')

Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between HNK Rijeka and NK Istra 1961.

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions

Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Rijeka
Saturday, February 1 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

NK Istra 1961

All competitions

Last Game: Istra 1961 0-0 Gorica
Friday, January 31 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 68.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 11.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.37%) and 3-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
HNK Rijeka	Draw	NK Istra 1961
68.39% ( -0.2)	20.36% ( 0.21)	11.25% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 40.06% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.31% (

-0.81)

52.69% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.67% (

-0.7)

74.33% (

0.7)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.55% (

-0.32)

14.45% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.6% (

-0.62)

42.4% (

0.62)

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.82% (

-0.52)

53.18% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.24% (

-0.33)

86.76% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

HNK Rijeka 68.38%

NK Istra 1961 11.25%

Draw 20.36%

HNK Rijeka	Draw	NK Istra 1961
1-0 @ 14.86% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 14.37% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.95% Total : 68.38%	1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.42% Total : 20.36%	0-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 11.25%