Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 63.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Slaven Koprivnica had a probability of 14.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.33%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Slaven Koprivnica win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.