Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 16

Dec 8, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadion Subicevac

Sibenik
0 - 1
Rijeka

Majic (49'), Gacic (51'), Bakic (57'), Peric (90+11'), Dakovic (90+11')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Devetak (19')
Fruk (51'), Smolcic (63')

Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Sibenik and HNK Rijeka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sibenik

All competitions

Last Game: Varazdin 2-1 Sibenik
Friday, November 29 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

HNK Rijeka

All competitions

Last Game: Rijeka 1-0 Gorica
Saturday, November 30 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 46.57%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Sibenik had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Sibenik win it was 1-0 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.

Result
Sibenik	Draw	HNK Rijeka
24.44% ( -0.06)	28.99% ( -0.34)	46.57% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 40.63% (

0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.09% (

0.95)

64.92% (

-0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.17% (

0.66)

83.83% (

-0.66)

Sibenik Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.54% (

0.5)

43.47% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.32% (

0.41)

79.68% (

-0.41)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.88% (

0.67)

28.13% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.2% (

0.84)

63.8% (

-0.84)

Score Analysis

Sibenik 24.44%

HNK Rijeka 46.57%

Draw 28.98%

Sibenik	Draw	HNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.01% Total : 24.44%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.43% Total : 28.98%	0-1 @ 15.5% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.55% Total : 46.57%