Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 15
Nov 29, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion Andelko Herjavec

Varazdin
2 - 1
Sibenik

Dabro (6'), Belcar (47')
Marina (18'), Duvnjak (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kulusic (82')
Puncec (33'), Zuta (39'), Santini (59'), Pozo (77'), Kulusic (90+2')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Varazdin and Sibenik.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Varazdin

All competitions
Last Game: Varazdin 1-1 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, November 23 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Sibenik

All competitions
Last Game: Sibenik 1-0 Gorica
Sunday, November 24 at 4.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 46.03%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Sibenik had a probability of 26.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Sibenik win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Varazdin would win this match.

Result
NK VarazdinDrawSibenik
46.03% (-0.137 -0.14)27.03% (0.218 0.22)26.95% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 47.5% (-0.666 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.85% (-0.83000000000001 -0.83)57.15% (0.836 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.99% (-0.666 -0.67)78.02% (0.672 0.67)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2% (-0.432 -0.43)24.8% (0.439 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.62% (-0.609 -0.61)59.38% (0.616 0.62)
Sibenik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.17% (-0.515 -0.52)36.84% (0.523 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.38% (-0.519 -0.52)73.62% (0.526 0.53)
Score Analysis
    NK Varazdin 46.02%
    Sibenik 26.95%
    Draw 27.03%
NK VarazdinDrawSibenik
1-0 @ 12.73% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 8.88% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 46.02%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.14% (0.288 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.03%
0-1 @ 9.12% (0.161 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 26.95%

Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 6
Sibenik
0-0
Varazdin
Bracovic (11'), Santini (34'), Belcar (48')
Latkovic (10'), Belcar (36'), Kavelj (58')