Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 17

Dec 15, 2024 at 4.45pm UK

Stadion Poljud

Hajduk Split
2 - 2
Rijeka

Kalik (7', 36')
Kalik (44'), Rakitic (64')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Jankovic (12'), Selahi (46')
Devetak (44'), Majstorovic (45'), Selahi (48'), Petrovic (58'), Galesic (90+3')

Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Hajduk Split and HNK Rijeka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hajduk Split

All competitions

Last Game: Gorica 1-0 Hajduk Split
Saturday, December 7 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

HNK Rijeka

All competitions

Last Game: Sibenik 0-1 Rijeka
Sunday, December 8 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 44.98%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 26.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 0-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Hajduk Split	Draw	HNK Rijeka
44.98% ( 0.29)	28.44% ( -0.03)	26.58% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 43.5% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.88% (

-0.04)

62.12% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.18% (

-0.03)

81.82% (

0.03)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.39% (

0.14)

27.61% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.85% (

0.17)

63.15% (

-0.17)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.1% (

-0.25)

39.9% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.44% (

-0.23)

76.56% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Hajduk Split 44.97%

HNK Rijeka 26.58%

Draw 28.43%

Hajduk Split	Draw	HNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 14.17% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 44.97%	1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.43%	0-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.39% Total : 26.58%