Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 17
Dec 13, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gradski Stadion

Slaven Koprivnica
2 - 1
Gorica

Grgic (67'), Jagusic (82')
Lucic (32'), Grgic (49'), Nestorovski (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gashi (8')
Gurlica (49'), Prsir (57'), Les (77')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Slaven Koprivnica and Gorica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slaven Koprivnica

All competitions
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 Slaven Koprivnica
Friday, December 6 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Gorica

All competitions
Last Game: Gorica 1-0 Hajduk Split
Saturday, December 7 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slaven Koprivnica win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slaven Koprivnica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Gorica win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slaven Koprivnica would win this match.

Result
Slaven KoprivnicaDrawGorica
43.89% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)26.64% (-0.004999999999999 -0)29.46% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.2% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.56% (0.040999999999997 0.04)54.43% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.19% (0.035 0.04)75.8% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Slaven Koprivnica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36%24.64% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.84% (0.00099999999999767 0)59.15% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.61% (0.051000000000002 0.05)33.39% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.99% (0.056000000000001 0.06)70.01% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Slaven Koprivnica 43.89%
    Gorica 29.47%
    Draw 26.64%
Slaven KoprivnicaDrawGorica
1-0 @ 11.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 43.89%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 8.23% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.64%
0-1 @ 9.02% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 29.47%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Gorica
2-1
Slaven Koprivnica
Prsir (28' pen.), Slogar (90+4')
Banic (62')
Martinovic (30')
Bozic (45+1'), Bosec (54'), Caimacov (69'), Lucic (74')
May 4, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 33
Slaven Koprivnica
4-1
Gorica
Mioc (43', 80' pen.), Bozic (69'), Maric (90+5')
Radeljic (0')
Vujnovic (41')
Matkovic (90+2')
Feb 25, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Gorica
1-0
Slaven Koprivnica
Matavz (59')
Jelicic (46'), Munksgaard (90+3')

Agbekpornu (45+1'), Lepinjica (67')
Nov 10, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 15
Slaven Koprivnica
0-0
Gorica
Liber (47')
Soldo (45+1')
Aug 25, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 6
Gorica
2-2
Slaven Koprivnica
Valthy Streeker Ndockyt (45+4', 51')
Valthy Streeker Ndockyt (45+5')
Hoxha (50'), Mioc (54')
Moniz (0'), Crnac (40'), Hlevnjak (72'), Marina (82')