Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.