Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slaven Koprivnica win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slaven Koprivnica win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slaven Koprivnica would win this match.