National League North | Gameweek 44

Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Marine Travel Arena

Marine AFC
1 - 0
Warrington Town

Sinclair-Smith (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Marine AFC and Warrington Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marine AFC

All competitions

Last Game: Chorley 0-0 Marine AFC
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Warrington Town

All competitions

Last Game: Warrington Town 1-2 Brackley Town
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marine AFC win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Warrington Town had a probability of 17.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marine AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Warrington Town win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Marine AFC in this match.

Result
Marine AFC	Draw	Warrington Town
60.01% ( -0.71)	22.94% ( 0.25)	17.05% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 46.76% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.33% (

-0.28)

51.67% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.55% (

-0.24)

73.45% (

0.24)

Marine AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.14% (

-0.34)

16.86% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.13% (

-0.61)

46.87% (

0.61)

Warrington Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.24% (

0.41)

43.76% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.07% (

0.34)

79.92% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Marine AFC 60%

Warrington Town 17.05%

Draw 22.94%

Marine AFC	Draw	Warrington Town
1-0 @ 13.13% 2-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.78% Total : 60%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.94%	0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.61% Total : 17.05%