National League North | Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Cantilever Park

Warrington Town
0 - 2
Marine AFC


Thomas (31'), Gumbs (35'), McCourt (70'), Douglas (75'), Atherton (90+5'), Harris (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Brown (45+2'), Whelan (45+4')
McDonald (33'), Whelan (78'), Lusiama (83')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Warrington Town and Marine AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Warrington Town

All competitions
Last Game: Southport 2-0 Warrington Town
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North

Marine AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Marine AFC 2-3 Chester
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marine AFC win with a probability of 45.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Warrington Town had a probability of 26.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marine AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Warrington Town win it was 1-0 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marine AFC would win this match.

Result
Warrington TownDrawMarine AFC
26.77% (0.031000000000002 0.03)27.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)45.77% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.22% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.26% (0.045999999999999 0.05)58.73% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.73% (0.036000000000001 0.04)79.26% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Warrington Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.15% (0.051000000000002 0.05)37.85% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.38% (0.052 0.05)74.62% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Marine AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.36% (0.007000000000005 0.01)25.63% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (0.012999999999998 0.01)60.52% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Warrington Town 26.77%
    Marine AFC 45.77%
    Draw 27.45%
Warrington TownDrawMarine AFC
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 6.23% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 26.77%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 9.7% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 13.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.99% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.73% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.08% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.96% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 45.77%

rhs 2.0


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